This post is part of our special coverage of Egypt Elections 2011/12 [1].
It has been reported that since January 25, 2011 the profits of the Egyptian film industry have dropped [2], and the main reason must be that the drama in the political arena since that time cannot be beaten by any movies. The suspense has currently reached a peak thanks to the presidential elections race.
Hazem Salah's Mom
Hazem Salah Abou-Ismail [3], the Salafi [4] cleric, is one of the candidates with the biggest chance of success, with a large number of supporters and endless posters all over the country [5]. However, news came weeks ago that his mother might have American citizenship, and as the constitutional amendments made last year [6] state that applicants cannot stand for presidential elections if at least one parent or spouse holds foreign nationality, Abou Ismail might be disqualified if this is proved to be the case.
Since then contradictory news has been appearing on a daily basis, and during the past weeks it has been normal to see people asking for updates:
It's an ironic situation because the Salafis argued for the constitutional amendments:
According to Egyptian law, a person should get permission before taking another country's citizenship, and failing to do so means that the local authority will not be aware of the citizen's second nationality. Knowing this, Abou Ismail – who is a lawyer himself – filed a lawsuit calling for the Interior Ministry to prove his mother's U.S. citizenship, which it was unable to do [10]. Doing this changed the question from whether his mother holds U.S. citizenship to whether the Ministry of Interior has the papers to prove it or not, and last Wednesday the court gave Hazem Salah's presidential dream a kiss of life [11], waiting for the final decision of the Supreme Committee for Elections.
The Chess Game of SCAF and the Muslim Brotherhood
The next two big candidates are Khairat El Shater [12] and Omar Suleiman [13]. The Muslim Brotherhood introduced Khairat El Shater into the presidential race [14] very recently, despite their earlier pledge not to run a candidate for president [15]. They even expelled Abdel-Monem Aboul-Futouh [16] from the Brotherhood for defying that very pledge earlier.
A short while later Omar Suleiman entered the race [17]. Zeinobia wrote about his entry [18]:
Others believe that this is the answer of SCAF [19] to El Shater’s candidacy and that the military is using the fear of the Islamists that is growing among the middle class.
Suleiman was Mubarak's vice president, yet according to Zeinobia he said the following in his announcement:
I decided to run for presidency in order to achieve the goals and aims of the January 25th revolution!
The Muslim Brotherhood compared Khairat El Shater – who was imprisoned many times during the Mubarak era – to Prophet Joseph [20] who came out of jail to rule Egypt. Zeinobia commented [21]:
The Muslim brotherhood boys decided that he was Joseph 2012 who will save the Egyptian economy !! Of course the old Joseph , the real Prophet Joseph did not call for the privatization of water or electricity or allowing the private sector to control the infrastructure of a third world country that already suffered a lot from corruption in the past 30 years!
She then added how Omar Suleiman supporters compared him to King Solomon [22], and comparing his opponents to ants [23] that should hide or else they'll get crushed:
Interestingly enough El Shater’s nemesis in the presidential elections Omar Soliman is now being described by his supporters as King Solomon !!!
In a press release issued today by Soliman’s campaigner Samual Al Ashay, we find a quote by Mohamed Anatar. […] Anater ended his statement with a warning to the Muslim Brotherhood with a quote from the Qur'an: “O you ants, go into your homes, lest you get crushed by Solomon and his soldiers, without perceiving.”
Both the revolutionaries and the Muslim Brotherhood have been united in rejecting Suleiman. Raafatology wrote [24] how Suleiman's belief that revolutionaries might support him to rescue them from the Muslim Brotherhood are totally wrong:
ظن وظنه الخطأ. فنحن رغم ما عانيناه من الإخوان ومن تلونهم والعمل على مصلحتهم فقط فلن نقبل يوماً بعمر سليمان رئيساً للخلاص من الإخوان وكذبهم ونفاقهم السياسى
The parliament with its Islamic majority has been working on passing a law that bars the “remnants” (unreformed loyalists of the former regime) from entering the presidential race:
The recent tension [14] between the Muslim Brotherhood and SCAF, and the moves they have both made in the presidential race, made Mohamed Ibrahim describe the race as a chess game:
The Game Changer
On Saturday April 14 came the news that turned everything upside down, as AhramOnline reported [27]:
The body overseeing Egypt's presidential election disqualified 10 candidates from the race on Saturday, including the Muslim Brotherhood's Khairat al-Shater, former spy chief Omar Suleiman and Salafi sheikh Hazem Salah Abu-Ismail, Ayman Nour, and Mortada Mansour.
The candidates still have 48 hours to appeal against the decision; however, the disqualification of the three candidates mentioned above has been the focus of most discussions on Twitter and blogs.
Bassem Sabry gave detailed reasons [28] as to why each candidate was disqualified.
Ahmad Mahmoud Ali mocked the fact that all the candidates were disqualified at once:
Farid Salem expected the remaining candidates to be very happy, especially Aboul Fotouh [16] and Amr Moussa [30]:
Ahmad Shokr added:
@ahmadshokr [32]: Omar Suleiman disqualified for failure to collect required signatures from 15 governorates. Deep state may not be so deep after all #egypt
While Tarek Shalaby couldn't care less about the elections:
@tarekshalaby [33]: These elections are totally for entertainment and anthropological purposes – they have nothing to do with our ongoing revolution. #jan25
And finaly, Ahmed Abd Rabo went further, seeing a conspiracy being cooked:
This post is part of our special coverage of Egypt Elections 2011/12 [1].