India: Predictions for The 2009 Elections

Rajesh Jain at Emergic predicts the outcomes of the 2009 elections in India in contrast with the 2004 elections.

60 comments

  • sandip

    CONGRESS WINS – 165

    bjp only 95

    follow the leaders …thats what other will be left to do !!

  • divya

    BJP should come to power,indian government is not a family affair nor is it a puppet show which we r havg now with manmohan govt.wed need pure blood to rule,only they can hav d real dadkhan of our fellow indians.

    only BJP govt can teach pakistan a lesson and help india stop all terrorism.

    • Dear Divya,

      If u were given a chance to rule india, what u have first done. Wage a war against pakistan. after that what u will do! again u will start a war against pakistan, by that time if china attacks, then u will start a war with china. war with two countries at one moment. will india survive in this world. india will be same as somalia. u want india to be the same! at least think before u comment.

      • Sathya

        James – Stop preaching to people – you are
        not a damn pastor. Protecting one’s homeland is like
        saving one’s mother. what do you know?? You have
        sold your soul to the church and white man. Hey one
        more thing…here is how white man and his missionaries
        have helped local people:

        1. Killed 13 million native Americans
        2. Killed 10 million south americans and raped/married
        their women to create a new hispanic race with Spanish
        as first language.
        3. Slaved africans and occupied their land by giving them
        the bible.

        You are a brainwashed fellow who does not understand
        India or its greatness and its contributions to humanity.

        Even Jesus learnt his teachings from Yogis in India and Buddha was born here. But brianwashed elites and converts of India will not understand this.

        • HELLO SATHYA!
          I DONT KNOW UR FROM WHICH PART OF INDIA! I CAN ALSO CLAIM THAT HINDU YOGIS, SADHUS, RULERS DIVIDED HUMANS WITH CASTISM, CREED, UNTOUCHABILITIES AND ALL DIRTY DIFFERENCES. BUT THAT WAS NOT HINDUISM! I JUST WANT TO KNOW FROM U, CAN U DRAW THE BOUNDARY LINE OF UR MOTHERLAND BEFORE THE WESTENERS COMING. U WILL ACKNOWLDEGE THE FACT THAT WE DIDN’T HAVE A PROPER BOUNDARY LINE SHOWING THIS IS INDIA OR BHARATH. UR MISTAKEN WESTNERS WERE NOT THE FIRST TO BRING CHRISTINITY IN INDIA.
          LEARN HISTORY OF INDIA AD 56 ST. THOMAS CAME HERE AND PREACHED CHRISTIANITY IN INDIA AND ALSO CHRISTIANITY DIDN’T ARISE IN AMARICA OR SPAIN OR ROME, CHRIST WAS BORN IN JERUSLEM NOT IN AMARICA OR IN SPAIN OR IN ROME. WHAT U KNOW ABOUT CHRISTIANITY, DOES ANY GRANTH SHOWS JESUS HAS COME TO THE HIMALAYAS TO MEET SADHUS OR YOGIS. UR TALKING ABOUT BUDHISIM, THE BUDHIST MONKS WERE KILLED DURING ADI SANKARACHARYA FOR THE REVIVAL OF HINDUISM. TO KNOW ABOUT CHRISIANITY LEARN BIBLE, TRY TO UNDERSTAND WHAT IS WRITTEN IN IT. THEN U WILL UNDERSTAND WHAT THE AMARICANS AND SPANISH PEOPLE DOING IS PURE MOCKERY OF CHRISTIANITY. AND U BELONG TO WHICH MOTHERLAND! IF U GO TO HISTORY U WILL FIND INDIA BELONGS TO DRAVIDANS, NOT THE ARYANS. AND U CALLING ME A PASTOR, I DEEPLY HONORED AND THE SAD THING BECOZ OF UR UTTER BLUNDER, MADE ME WRITE SO! UR NOT A BELIEVER OF HINDU COMMUNITY, U JUST HAVE A PASSION TOWARDS HINDUISM. I ALSO HAVE PASSION TOWARDS AMITABH BACHAN.

          • Dear Mr.James,

            Several Eminent historians and anthropologists have disproved the Aryan Invasion Theory. This theory was put forth by the British and the West so that Indians will learn their own history from the Western point of view. So, Aryan Invasion never happened. There is nothing like Aryan-Dravidian and none such divide has been documented in any of the Vedic texts. We all know where the missionaries and Islamic Marauders came from—We don’t need historians to say this, even a illiterate Indian villager will give you the answer. Needless to say, the broad-minded Hindus of India have nurtured all religions within her borders, including a religion called Zorastrianism which does-not even have any remnants left even in its country of origin (namely Iran).

             
      • sivramkisen

        Sorry, James!

        The days of your manipulation are numbered. Look what you guys have done to the world over the last 2000 years. You took a beautiful world and turned it into a ball pollution where corruptions reigns (North America, South America, Australia, New Zealand and most of Africa). Diseases were spread through infected blankets (American Indians). Innocent people were burnt in the name of the saviour (witch hunting, South America and Central America). People were killed because of their beliefs (Central America, South America). Cultures were destroyed because your priests did not like how people dressed? (Hawaiian islands, Australia and South Pacific Islands)

        A new era is upon us. Your corrupt banking system used to bilk the poor is almost kaput!. Your islamic brethrens are ready to meet your challenges and to act in the name of (their) “almight god” as you have done for so looooong.

        China is smarter than you think. So, don’t hold your breath, my Christian friend.

        • Hello Mr. Sivaramkrishnan,
          I already have written chirstianity is not what amaricans or latin amaricans or spanish or new zealand or……… practice.
          What is the basic knowledge u have about christianity! My dear i request u read bible, Understand what christianity means. Pope or priest of rome practicing r not christianity.
          For your kind information christanity is growing in china at a rapid pace. This is truth not assumptions from heaven.
          And what all u have written is from ur imanginations. This practices were also here in ancient india.One example low cast females were not allowed to cover their breast in early days and more.
          I too can claim, but i don’t want …………..
          sorry for delay, becoz i was busy with some other works.

    • Dr HadadiSB

      Dear Divya we are with the BJP , definetly this time the BJP will be the option nodoubt, as last three times the Cong match fixing drama people doesnot like this time, as before electionn separting from the chota,mota parties and after elections go and beg with them,surrender with them to form govt, which does not have any meaning but this time the people are aware this drama of cong and the devegoudas drams whihc doesnot work at all most of the parties will be rooted out, final opotion will be BJP only as it through which ony the People wll get national security, inflatioin conntrol, infrastructure etc., let it be for future
      because of poor perfomrance of the cong and hungry of power ,failure in providing security, etc etc .,

  • vamant

    hi
    why ur angry when somebody writes that bjp will come power. he has given his opionion. do not take in bad spirit. defintelty this time bjp will come power and advani will become PM of our nation.

    • sivramkisen

      Aap kay muh mein Ghee au Shukkar!

      BJP WILL WIN!

      Why are these people so angry?

      Of-course if BJP wins then they cannot loot India anymore.

      Jia Hindustan!

  • According to astrological predictions!
    PRP will get the majority.
    If it is not possible the second prediction is Cong will support PRP

    THE PREDICTION IS 200% ACCURATE

  • sivramkisen

    Jai Bhiwani!

    NDA will form the government.

    Congress: less than 100 seats, start of its end.

    Indians and Hindustan cannot take another five years of this administration. If Congress/Communists win and rule for another five years with the same agenda they have used for the last five years, India will be deformed beyond recognition.

    Since I am very positive on India, I predict a less corrupt and a more patriotic administration of BJP and its allies.

    BJP by itself will win about 150 seats.

    Jai Kali!

  • Kailash

    Hi All,My Predictions

    NDA:
    BJP:166(MP-24,Guj-20,Kar-20,UP-16,Mah-15,Raj- 13)
    JD(U):22(Bihar-21,UP-1)
    Shiv Sena:10(Mah-10)
    Assam Gana Parishad:4
    Rashtriya Lok Dhalam:4(UP-4)
    Akali Dhalam:4(Punjab-4)
    Indian National Lok Dhalam-1(Har-1)
    Other-1
    TOTAL:212

    UPA:-
    Congress-133(AP-18,Raj-12,Ker-11,WB-11,Mah-11)
    National Congress-11(Mah-11)
    Trinamool Congress-15(WB-15)
    DMK-6(TN-6)
    JMM-3(Jharkand-3)
    National Conference-2(Kashmir-2)
    Others-5
    TOTAL:175

    THIRD FRONT:
    BSP-30(UP-30)
    Left-30(WB-15,Ker-7,TN-3)
    AIADMK-19(TN-18,Pondy-1)
    Telugu Desam-15(AP-15)
    PMK-5(TN-5)
    Telugana RS-4(AP-4)
    Janata Dal (Sec)-3(Kar-2,Ker-1)
    MDMK(Vaiko)-2(TN-2)
    Others-2
    TOTAL:110

    FOURTH FRONT and OTHERS
    Samajwadi Party:23(UP-23)
    RJD:8(Bihar-7,Jharkhand-1)
    LJP:2(Bihar-2)
    Praja Rajyam:2(AP-2)
    Others:4
    DMDK(Vijaykanth):2(TN-2)
    Independents-5
    Others:4
    TOTAL:46

    This is Parthwise position.

  • I think NDA is gaining ground in states like UP & Bihar while Congress is loosing substantially in AP & TN. At present looks advantage BJP. Lets wait & see.

  • Haneef

    who ever wins !! lets hope and pray that we will live in harmony

    • sv

      Sure Bro!! but its most on us the people to maintain the harmony not on the leaders. Why do we get carried away with the utterances from somebody? We need to change ourselves and probably our education system to think before you act not act and then think.. Wish my India remains prosperous for ever and all Indians drop hatered from their innocent hearts and work for moving the nation to be on the top..

  • gagan

    Hi, Did you predict the outcome of last elections correctly ? I think you are pulling this thing from the air for fun.
    If your prediction comes out to be true, India’s progrss will halt, India’s international status gain will be reversed.

  • Ravi Pandey

    Dear All

    THIS TIME THE VOTE RESULTS WILL BE MOST FRACTURED AND NO PARTY OR COALITION WILL GET NEAR 272 SEATS AND IN THAT CASE THE HORSE TRADING WILL BE DONE LIKE NEVER BEFORE. PERMUTATION AND COMBINATION WILL BE SUCH THAT ONLY BJP LED FRONT WILL BE ABLE TO FORM A GOVT AT CENTRE.THERE R TWO OTHER POSSIBILITY LIKE CONGRESS LED UPA GOVT OR COMMUNIST LED A KHICHDI GOVT SUPPORTED BY CONGRESS,WHICH MAY NOT LAST EVEN 5-6 MONTHS,. BUT WHY I THINK THAT ONLY BJP LED NDA WILL COME TO POWER…? FIRST I THINK BJP WILL EMERGE AS A SINGLE LARGEST PARTY IN THIS ELECTION.LAST TIME IN 2004 CONGRESS WAS SINGLE LARGEST BY GETTING 7-8 SEATS MORE THAN BJP.CONGRESS GOT ABOUT 147.

    THIS TIME LOOK AT THE CONGRESS POSITION.IN TN AND ANDHRA CONGRESS GOT 43 SETS LAST TIME OUT OF 82.THEY FOUGHT 10 SEATS IN TN WID ALLIANCE OF DMK AND WON ALL AND IN ANDHRA THEY GOT 33 OUT OF 42. THIS TIME IN TN IT SEEMS JAYA WILL SWEEP AND WID HER MDMK/PMK/CPI/CPM WILL GAIN WHILE CONGRESS AND DMK WILL B LOOSERS. IN ANDHRA YSR, THE CM, BECOME UNPOPULAR, SATYAM CASE MAKES IT WORSE AND POPULAR CHIRANJIVI IS GOING TO EAT THEIR VOTE BANK.SO CONGRESS WILL LOOSE ATLEAST 25-30 SEATS FROM THESE TWO STATES.A BIG LOSE/BIG SETBACK.

    NOW IN BENGAL LAST TIME CONGRESS WON 6 SEATS ALONE.THIS TIME THEY R IN ALLIANCE WID MAMTA BUT ALL BENEFITS OF ALLIANCE WILL GO TO MAMTA.TC OF MAMTA MAY WIN 10-14 SEATS FROM ONE SEAT LAST TIME BUT CONGRESS WILL STRUGGLE TO WIN EVEN 6.THEY WILL LOOSE DARJEELING SEAT BECAUSE OF GORKHA SUPPORT NOW GORKHA SUPPORTING BJP.THEY WON MURSHIDABAD SEAT NOW DUE TO INFIGHTING THEY R GOING TO LOOSE THAT ALSO.SO IN BENGAL CONGRESS CANT GAIN ONLY LOOSE.

    IN ASSAM AND NORTHEAST.. BJP AND AGP ALLIANCE TAKEN PLACE THIS TIME. CONGRESS CM BECOME UNPOPULAR AND HIS ACCEPTENCE OF TAKING DONATION ALSO BECOME AN ISSUE. IMPOSING PRESIDENT RULE IN MEGHALAYA,SANGMA IS WID BJP.UNABILITY OF UPA GOVT TO SOLVE A SINGLE NE ISSUE.OVERALL IT SHOWS CONGRESS IS GOING TO LOOSE 10 SEATS IN WHOLE NE.

    NOW IN NORTH INDIA, J & K, UTTARAKHAND,HARYANA,HIMACHAL,PUNJAB AND DELHI.CONGRESS PERFORMED ITS BEST LAST TIME HERE IN THIS REASON OF ALL SMALL STATES.NOW THIS TIME THEY WILL LOOSE ATLEAST 5 SEATS IN THIS REASON.

    NOW LOOK AT STATES WHERE A DIRECT FIGHT WID BJP.IN KARNATAKA,GUJRAT,MP,CHHATISGARH, CONGRESS WILL REMAIN SAME AS LAST TIME BECOZ IN ALL 4 STATES BJP GOVT IS THERE AND CONGRESS LOST BADLY.SO NO CHANCE OF GAINING MUCH.NOW IN RAJASHTHAN CONGRESS IS GOING TO WIN 5 SEATS MORE THAN LAST TIME,THEY WON STATE ELECTION RECENTLY BUT THIS 5 SEAT GAIN WILL BE NEGATED BY MAHARASHTRA.THERE IS A PROBLEM WID NCP.MUTUAL DISBELIEF,LACK OF CO ORDINATION,UNPOPULAR STATE GOVT,CM CHANGED AFTER 26/11
    NCP WANTS CONGRESS TO LOOSE SO SHARAD PAWAR CAN BE IN RACE OF PM, CONGRESS WANT NCP TO LOOSE SO PAWAR CANT CLAIM PM’S CHAIR….

    IN JHARKHAND CONGRESS WILL LOOSE FEW SEATS BECAUSE OF THE SOREN DRAMA/ KODA DRAMA/PRESIDENT RULE OR SUSPENDED ASSEMBLY/UNPOPULAR GOVTS BUT THE LOSE OF JHARKHAND WILL BE AGAIN GAINED FROM ORISSA.IN ORISSA BJP/BJD ALLIANCE BROKEN AND CONGRESS WILL WIN 5-7 MORE THAN LAST TIME.SO IT WILL EQUALS THE LOSS OF JHARKHAND….

    NOW IN UP AND BIHAR.CONGRESS WON 12 LAST TIME AND IF THEY CAN WON 12 AGAIN THEY WILL BE LUCKY.I DONT SEE ANY CHANGE THERE….

    NOW THE ONE STATE WHERE CONGRESS IS GOING TO GAIN HUGE IN PERCENTAGE BUT TOO SMALL A STATE SO IT CAN GIVE MAXIMUM GAIN OF 7-8 SEATS.STATE IS KERALA.COMMUNIST GOVT IS UNPOPULAR AND CONGRESS WILL GET BENEFIT…

    NOW IF U SEE FROM TOP TO BOTTAM AND MAKE A ALL INDIA PICTURE OF CONGRESS PARTY U WILL FIND THAT CONGRESS IS GOING TO LOOSE MORE THAN 25 SEATS…

    SO I THINK THIS TIME CONGRESS WILL BE DOWN FROM 147 TO 120…. TO BE MORE ACCURATE I WILL SAY ANYTHING BETWEEN 110 TO 130. AND WITH THIS RESULT U CANT EXPECT CONGRESS TO FORM THE GOVT. THERES A FACT OF INDIAN POLL RESULTS THAT SINCE 1989 IF U ADD THE SEATS OF CONGRESS AND BJP ITS ALWAYS OVER 272. LAST TIME IT WAS 147 + 138 = 285, BUT THIS TIME IF CONGRESS GET ABROUND 120 AND BJP 150 ( I WILL CALCULATE BJP CALCULATION LATER) THAN IT WILL BE FIRST TIME THAT CONGRESS/BJP WILL BE LESS THAN 272,MAGIC FIGURE,. WHEN BOTH OF THESE JOINTLY GET OVER 272 THAN IT WAS CLEAR THAT A GOVT CAN NOT BE FORM WITHOUT ONE OF THEM.BUT IF U LOOK AT THE REGIONAL POSITIONS THAN U WILL UNDERSTAND THAT EVEN IF CONGRESS/BJP JOINTLY GET ANYTHING BETWEEN 260-270 IN THAT CASE A GOVT CAN NOT BE FORMED WITHOUT ONE OF THEM. NOW ONE CAN ASK WHY …?

    SUPPOSE ALL THE POLITICAL PARTYS OF INDIA GET 280 + SEATS EXCEPT CONGRESS AND BJP BUT CAN THEY FORM A GOVT..? ANSWER IS SIMPLE NO.WHY..?

    REASON IS IT INCLUDES SP AND BSP BOTH CANT COME TOGETHER. COMMUNIST AND MAMTA(TC) BOTH CANT COME TOGETHER, DMK AND AIADMK BOTH CANT COME TOGETHER, COMMUNIST AND SHIV SENA CANT BE TOGETHER, AKALI AND CONGRESS CANT BE, JD(U) OF NITISH AND RJD OF LALU CANT BE TOGETHER AND SO ON..

    ITS CLEAR THAT WITHOUT BJP OR CONGRESS NO GOVT AT CENTRE CAN NOT BE FORMED. NOW LOOK AT THE POSSIBILITY OF A CONGRESS LED GOVT OR A KHICDI GOVT LED BY 3RD FRONT/4RTH FRONT WITH THE CONGRESS SUPPORT.

    IF SUCH AN ARRANGEMENT TAKES PLACE WHO WILL NOT PARTICIPATE…. BJP.. SHIV SENA…MNS OF RAJ THACKRAY…. AKALI… AGP OF ASSAM… BJD OF ORISSA…. JD(U) OF NITISH.. BSP OF MAYAWATI….. RLD OF AJIT SINGH …… INLD OF CHAUTALA…. DMK..(I M TAKING AIADMK IN KHICHDI GOVT )TC OF MAMTA.. PRAJARAJYAM OF CHIRANJIVI…. PDP(MUFTI) OF J& K…. SANGMA OF NCP FROM NORTH EAST… AND FEW SINGLE MP PARTY OR INDEPENDENTS….

    NOW IF U COUNT THE TOTAL SEATS OF ALL THESE PARTYS,WHICH CANT GO WITH OTHERS FOR THEIR REASONAL FACTORS, U WILL SEE THE NUMBER OF THESE PARTYS ARE ABOUT 280… ALSO IN OTHER SIDE THE COMMUNIST LED KHICHDI MAY TRY TO INCLUDE MAYAWATIS BSP AND CAN EXCLUDE SP OF MULAYAM AND IN THAT CASE NUMBERS CAN BE CHANGED BUT MAYAWATI WILL GO AND JOIN ONLY IF SHE WILL BE PM AND IN THAT CASE NCP/ AIADMK/TDP/ JD(S) OF DEVEGODA WILL COME OUT WITH SP FROM THAT KHICHDI…… SO IF U LOOK THE WHOLE PICTURE U WILL UNDERSTAND THAT ONLY A BJP LED NDA CAN FORM THE GOVT….

    REASON 1 BJP WILL BE SINGLE LARGEST PARTY.. REASON 2 JAYALALITHA/CHANDRA BABU/MAMTA WERE WITH NDA BEFORE AND BJP IS NOT A THREAT FOR THEM IN THEIR STATE SO THEY WILL COME EVEN NAVEEN PATNAIK MAY COME AGAIN BECAUSE HE MAY NEED BJP SUPPORT IN THE STATE ASSEMBLY….

    NOW THE SEATS BJP CAN WIN.. AS I SAID ABOUT 150.. HOW..?

    LAST TIME BJP GOT ABOUT 138-140 SO ITS A QUESTION OF MAINTAINING THAT AND INCREASING 10-15 SEATS ONLY… BJP IS VERY STRONG IN ITS TERITORY AS USUAL AND WILL PERFORM ON EXPECTED LINES. IN NORTHEAST WITH SANGMA AND AGP BJP WILL GET 5 SEATS BENEFIT. IN BENGAL BJP WILL WIN ATLEAST 1 SEAT 1ST TIME WITHOUT THE HELP OF MAMTA.. IN ORISSA BJP WILL LOOSE BUT WILL MAKE-UP IN JHARKHAND. BJP WAS 0 IN TN AND ANDHRA AND WILL REMAIN SO NO PROBLEM. IN KARNATAKA, GUJRAT, MP, RAJASHTHAN, MAHARASHTRA,IT WILL MAINTAIN THE FEW LOSES WITH FEW GAINS.BJP PERFORMED VERY BADLY IN BIHAR AND UP LAST TIME BUT THIS 2 STATES WILL GIVE THEM 15 SEATS BENEFIT.IN UP LALU SWEEPED LAST TIME BUT THIS TIME HE WILL GIVE BACK FEW TO BJP AND IN UP AJIT SINGH’S HELP AND VARUN FACTOR WILL GIVE BJP 10 SEATS MORE THAN LAST TIME.AND REST OF NORTH INDIA INCLUDING DELHI BJP WILL GAIN ATLEAST 5 SEATS..

    SO TOTAL I CAN SEE A GAIN OF 25 SEATS BUT I KEEP IT AT MINIMUM 150 WITH THE TAG OF SINGLE LARGEST PARTY…
    I HOPE AFTER READING ALL THIS ALL OF U WHO DISCUSS POLITICS OR WATCH RUBBISH DEBATES OF TV U WILL GET A PROPER PICTURE.

    I REQUEST ALL THE CITIZENS OF INDIA TO PLEASE VOTE THE FAIR AND GOOD CANDIDATES ONLY WITHOUT ANY PARTY BIAS AND BEWARE OF CRIMINALS.USE UR VOTES AS A POWER AND TRY TO AVOID REASONAL PARTYS IN LOK SABHA ELECTIONS.

Join the conversation

Authors, please log in »

Guidelines

  • All comments are reviewed by a moderator. Do not submit your comment more than once or it may be identified as spam.
  • Please treat others with respect. Comments containing hate speech, obscenity, and personal attacks will not be approved.