Robert Kaplan, a visiting Professor in National Security at the United States Naval Academy, wrote an article at the Alantic Monthly titled as “When North Korea falls”, and pointed out the likely winner is China. The articles has stirred up some discussion among some bloggers.
Richardson from the Korea Liberator has some problem with the analysis and has very detailed comments on the article.
Joshua also feels that Kaplan has misjudged the desire of China or Russia to have their own troops in North Korea. He further discusses the preparation needed for the reconstruction.
GI Korea pointed out that the recent reaction on history debate between China and South Korea might be related to the Kaplan's article. The speculation is: China is pursuing the so-called Northeast Project to co-opt Korean history with an eye on claiming North Korean territory when the regime there collapses.
Coming anarchy has some very long discussions in the comment session.